(Understand the existing organic channel strategy for your product and highlight the success and failure thereon.
Provide your suggestions and devise new strategies.)
Step 1 → Conduct keyword research on Google, Amazon, Youtube, Quora etc.
Step 2 → Collate all your insights from all your searches..
Do you feel anxious about where your money goes each month?
Fold consolidates all your bank and financial accounts into one intuitive app. It provides real-time insights into your spending, savings, and investments. With automatic tracking and categorization, you gain a clear picture of your financial health, which you can use to take informed decisions and reduce financial anxiety. Empowering, isn't it?
Built on a secure, government-regulated Account Aggregator framework, Fold ensures your financial data is protected while seamlessly integrating with your bank accounts, credit cards, and investment platforms. Our users love Fold for its simplicity and effectiveness. It is transforming how they manage their money.
Take control of your finances and we promise to eliminate all your money-related stress. So you can make better decisions and lead a healthier financial life.
Let's dive into Fold's ICP now.
To do this, I rolled out a survey on LinkedIn, Twitter and also joined Fold's Discord server, and spoke to some of them as well.
Survey link: https://forms.gle/NMerLorKMBMTCsR86
Applying heuristics, it is safe to say that users who are part of Fold's Discord server are will be highly engaged, and are best sample set to form Fold's ICP.
Criteria | ICP 1 | ICP 2 |
Who are they? |
|
|
Primary needs |
|
|
Pain points |
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|
Marketing Pitch | Your Personal Money Manager | Your Personal Finance Assistant |
Average spends | Medium to high | High to very high. |
Brand loyalty drivers | Seamless tracking and proactive insights | Reliable money management tools, timely reminders, Prioritises convenience and time. |
Tech savviness | Very comfortable. Digital native | Comfortable. Relies on digital payments. |
Frequency of usage | Very active for spend tracking. | Active for bill payments, investment tracking and credit card spend tracking. |
Where do they spend their online time | Instagram, Twitter, Reddit YouTube, Inshorts | Twitter, Reddit, LinkedIn, YouTube |
Where do they spend their offline time | Clubs, events, experiences, outings with friends | House parties, networking events, family get togethers, gyms/sports |
What do they use their banking apps for? | Checking balance, tracking spends | Setting limits and card controls, tracking spends |
How do the spend money? | UPI + credit card | Credit cards (multiple) + UPI |
No. of bank accounts and credit cards | 2+ bank accounts. 2+ credit cards | 3+ bank accounts. 4+ credit cards |
Do you have financial responsibility of anyone other that your own? | Mostly self | Self + family |
Since Fold is at PMF stage, we will focus on the two ICPs we have so far. As the product grows to early scale and beyond (eg: 100,000+ users), more ICPs could be developed and prioritised based on adoption rate, willingness to pay, frequency of use, market size and distribution potential.
Fold hasn't done any marketing yet (other than creating fomo on twitter for their public beta release). I wanted to get a sense what its current users are talking about it. I also wanted to get a sense of general public awareness people may have about Fold.
To get to this, I checked on public forums like reddit, grapevine and twitter, along with looking at its play store and app store reviews.
Good thing is that Fold has very high rating of 4.5+ on both play store and app store.
The good:
The not so good:
Let's now jump to the next section!
Fold currently has the following features:
Each of the above features have their own tabs in the app.
The home/landing page of the app shows the summary of each of the above features. User can customise the view of their home screen. Some widgets available on the home screen are:
Everyone's financial information is scattered and fragmented. You may have an HDFC bank account, an ICICI credit card, mutual fund investments with Zerodha and stocks with Groww. Your bank doesn't give you any insight on where you spend money, only giving you a barely understandable statement with jargons. You need to login to each of these apps separately to get a consolidated information. This is what Fold solves for you. It gives you a unified, automated, and intelligent way to track their spending, investments, and know your overall financial health. Want to download your bank statements to apply for a visa - use Fold! Want to send your payslip to apply for a loan - use Fold! Want to pay your bills - use Fold! Want to claim insurance, apply for a loan, buy gold - Use Fold!
Fold is your one stop solution to know your financial well being, and take well informed decisions based on that
For everyone who struggle with managing their finances, Fold automatically tracks your spending and provides intelligent insights. It gives you a unified view of your transactions, across UPI and credit cards, your investments, including stocks, mutual funds, and FDs, bill payments and recurring spends.
Fold helps you stay to stay on top of your money without manual effort. And you gain complete financial clarity that allows you to make smarter financial decisions.
Your money. Your control.
Fold is a fintech company. It operates in the personal finance space. Its initial positioning is of an expense tracker that is simple and easy to use. It recently started offering bill payments as a feature, and has plans to build more features in personal finance space.
I look at the trends and tailwinds in three broad areas: i) personal finance, ii) account aggregator and iii) fintech industry at a very macro level.
There are a plethora of expense tracking apps. They can be categorised as follows:
feature | app type 1 | app type 2 | app type 3 |
---|---|---|---|
tracking method | manual | auto - sms / email scraping | auto - using account aggregator |
security | high | low | high |
main market | not India | India | India |
examples | Spendee, Monefy | Walnut | CRED Money, Jupiter, Mojek Money |
I won't consider app type 1 since they are not made for Indian market, even though they are available in India.
There is aBetween app type 2 and app type 3, Fold and its competitors have a clear advantage since they are based on the Account Aggregator Framework. It is a clear differentiator.
My sense is that as this space builds up, app type 1 and 2 will become negligent in India market.
Therefore, I'll be comparing Fold with its most likely competitors.
Below is the comparison of CRED money and Jupiter.
Parameter | Jupiter | CRED money | Axio |
---|---|---|---|
problem being solved | offers a full digital banking setup with spend tracking baked in | tracks balances and transactions across accounts; ideal for users with many financial products | helps track spending and bills via SMS parsing; focuses on simplicity |
products / features | digital savings, goal-based savings pots, rewards, insights | multi-account linking, spend analysis, reminders for bills/SIPs/rent | SMS-based tracking, budget tools, bill reminders |
user type | millennials/gen z who want modern banking + money tools | affluent users with multiple credit cards/accounts | mass-market users looking for simple expense tracking |
marketing play | positions as a neobank; leverages UX + community feedback | leverages cred app user base; targets high-income users | app store presence and partner-driven distribution |
monetization | free banking; monetises via cross-sell and premium features | free to use; monetises via offers, lending, and partnerships (broader CRED offerings) | free with optional upgrades; earns via partnerships |
brand positioning | cool, modern, all-in-one banking app | premium, exclusive, trusted | accessible, helpful, made for everyone |
UI / UX | clean design, intuitive, feels complete | cluttered UI; tagging not great | smooth UI, but bank sync can be glitchy |
key learnings | bundling banking + finance = convenience; UI matters a lot | people want integration + automation, but UX must be clean | broad user base = need balance between easy and powerful |
Typically, for an internet-first company in India, one could look at the number of people having smartphones as a way to understand the TAM. The other way to look at it is to see how many unique users are there on UPI platforms.
But I feel, the most accurate way to estimate TAM of an internet first product in India is to use Blume's definition of India 1, 2 and 3. This is backed by Blume's research, and a very handy heuristic that tech products can use to calculate the market size they are going after. I am using the same.
In this section, i estimate the TAM, SAM and SOM for Fold based on number of users and possible revenue:
1. Total Addressable Market: Based on Blume's Indus Valley Report, India 1 = approximately 140 million individuals, representing about 10% of India’s population. These individuals form the primary consuming class, with a per capita income that would position India 1 as a middle-income country if considered independently.
• TAM ≈ 140M - 160M users
• TAM in revenue terms = $700M - $800M annually. Assuming $5 ARPU
2. Serviceable Available Market (SAM) - portion of TAM that Fold Money can realistically target, based on users who actively track & optimize their finances, users with multiple bank accounts, UPI apps, credit cards, and investments, users open to new fintech apps. Assuming that this segment is around 15% of TAM
• SAM ≈ 21M - 34M users
• SAM in revenue terms = $100M - $170M annually. Assuming ARPU of $5
3. Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) - This is Fold Money’s realistic near-term market share based on competition, adoption rates, and execution. Fold is in PMF stage, targetting its early adopters. Assuming this to be around 5-10% of SAM in the next 3-5 years
• SOM ≈ 1M - 3.4M users in 3-5 years
• SOM in revenue terms = $5M - $17M annually. Assuming ARPU of $5
Market size summary:
TAM: 140M-160M users | $700M-800M ARR
SAM: 21M-34M users | $100M-170M ARR
SOM: 1M-3.4M users | $5M-17M ARR
Onto the next section now!
Fold is in public beta. Hence it is safe to say it is at PMF stage.
channel | cost | flexibility | effort | speed | feedback |
organic | low upfront cost, mostly time/effort driven (e.g., SEO, Twitter) | high; can iterate fast based on traction (e.g., tweets, blogs) | medium to high; consistent content needs time | medium; takes time to build traction | medium to high; engagement metrics visible fast |
paid ads | moderate to high; CPC/CPM based and can get expensive fast | high; creatives & targeting can be tweaked quickly | medium; setup is easy but scaling requires experimentation | fast; results come within days | high; ad metrics give rapid signal |
referral program | low cost; incentivization-based but needs product support | medium; once live, harder to tweak rapidly | low to medium; depends on in-app referral flow | medium; relies on virality/user action | medium; harder to measure instantly but referral usage data helps |
product integrations | low to medium; depends on partner setup but no ad spend | low to medium; changes depend on integration partner | high; dev-heavy and partner coordination needed | slow; adoption depends on partner user base | low; delayed and indirect feedback loop |
content loops | low cost; depends on creative effort, not spend | high; fast iteration on formats, messages, channels | medium; requires regular content creation and tracking | medium; viral content can spike, but takes effort | high; direct engagement, shares, comments, reposts |
Step 1:
Fold’s ICP loves feeling in control of their money and learning quick actionable hacks.
best-fit loop = “share-to-show-value” loop.
this is low-CAC, high-feedback, and ideal for PMF stage.
Note: this is directional for now, since fold’s still at PMF and probably doesn’t have long-term LTV data. so I'll keep it simple and make assumptions:
Note again: this is an assumption.
for now, we'll primary ICP fold is already building for:
early to mid-career salaried professionals
The Goal is to optimize for CAC and speed. Following channels to target:
something punchy and somethig that has a character, not standard boring fintech lingo
a. emotional hook
“where did all my money go?” — if you’ve ever asked that, fold’s for you.
auto-track your spends, investments, and subscriptions. no spreadsheets. just clarity.
b. logic hook
3 bank accounts. 2 credit cards. 1 app to track it all.
fold connects everything and shows you exactly where your money’s going.
c. habit-building hook
imagine checking your money like you check your steps.
fold helps you stay on top of your spending, saving, and goals — daily.
tweak messaging based on sub-groups:
segment | angle |
---|---|
credit card users | "spot hidden charges and track spends in one place" |
folks using UPI a lot | "UPI spends scattered? fold pulls it all together" |
mutual fund/stocks investors | "get a full picture of your wealth—no juggling apps" |
anxious budgeters | "avoid mid-month panic. fold tells you exactly where your money’s going" |
referrer gets:
referee (new user) gets:
F
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